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Posts Tagged ‘The Select Approach’

The Great Wait May Be Over

February 11th, 2014 by Kurt L. Smith

The optimism, the good news, the earnings reports and everything else wonderful has culminated in the beautiful rise in stock prices.  Climbing the Wall of Worry?  There is no worry as this one way freight train moves only in one direction smashing all the remaining bears with it. (more…)

High Prices Be Damned

December 20th, 2013 by Kurt L. Smith

For some things in life, the price is the price.  You must pay it because you have to or you need to pay it.  With one son in college and another on his way next year, I know all about prices one must pay.  Some people look at investing the same way: the cost is the price one must pay. (more…)

Great Success

November 11th, 2013 by Kurt L. Smith

The financial markets spent most of October peaking so why should I add my usual dose of downer?  Instead, in the spirit of thanks and Thanksgiving, why not look back at some of our successes and revisit why we choose the path we do. (more…)

Exceptional Exceptions

August 30th, 2013 by Kurt L. Smith

In a world that includes dozens of US Treasury bond issues (but just one credit) or hundreds of Corporate bond issuers, Municipal bonds offer tens of thousands of different credits, terms and conditions.  It is these differences, rather than their similarities, between issuers and issuances that account for the robustness of the municipal bond market. (more…)

Detroit and You

August 2nd, 2013 by Kurt L. Smith

Contrary to popular opinion, things do actually happen in the municipal bond market.  Sometimes we wait years, even decades, before taking action, but actions do happen, eventually.  Municipal bankruptcies have occurred, will occur, and are getting bigger. (more…)

Joining The Fray

June 28th, 2013 by Kurt L. Smith

Bond market performance has gone from bad to worse.  The month of May was bad; June even worse.  Prices of longer-term bond funds have plunged, primarily in the past eight weeks, leaving municipal bond dealers and longer-term municipal bond portfolios down about ten percent for the period. (more…)

Wash, Rinse, Repeat

March 8th, 2013 by Kurt L. Smith

Stocks are cheap!  Compared to Bonds, Stocks are cheap, but then again, everything is cheap compared to Bonds.  This is the narrative driving Stock prices to multi-year and even all-time highs. Enjoy while you can but this narrative has no legs, despite the desires of all the central banks on the planet. (more…)

Debt Matters

November 1st, 2012 by Kurt L. Smith

The narrative of the financial crisis is only beginning to be written.  Slowly but surely every one of us will be able to sum up the crisis in two words: Debt Matters.  As the Federal Reserve continues its policy of buying treasury and mortgage bonds we can debate whether this will end the crisis or just end badly.  We should however already be able to agree: Debt Matters. (more…)

QE3, Municipals and You

October 10th, 2012 by Kurt L. Smith

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke kicked off Year Six of the Financial Crisis by announcing a mortgage bond buyback scheme dubbed historic as the Fed is now focused on the employment woes of the nation.  Will it work?  One only need look as far as a Federal Reserve Bank president, Charles Plosser, to find a cogent critic.  Thank goodness this is America and one can voice dissent. (more…)

Municipal Bonds Are Unique

September 5th, 2012 by Kurt L. Smith

Municipal bonds have been in the press more often lately. The Federal Reserve recently published a report on defaults in the municipal market precipitating arguments as to what constitutes a default as well as what constitutes a municipal bond. Such arguments bolster our position that while municipal bonds in the aggregate total almost $4 trillion, the marketplace is highly fragmented and the marketplace is a collection of tens of thousands of unique financial instruments too numerous to count. (more…)

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